Picks

by Tom Sheik Gil Scott-Heron was wrong. The black rapper wrote a famous song back in 1970 called “The Revolution will not be Televised.” A rapper in 1970? It sounds anachronistic, like running the west coast offense in 1947. In this year’s NFL playoffs, I’ve seen the revolution. Suddenly, in one year, when only a [...]

Before making our pick lets analyze the case for each side. In recent weeks we picked the Ravens to upset both Denver and New England. The main reason for our belief in Baltimore is that they made the highly unusual move of firing longtime offensive coordinator Cam Cameron and replacing him with Jim Caldwell. Playoff [...]

Gil Scott-Heron was wrong. The black rapper wrote a famous song in 1970 called “The Revolution Will Not Be Televised.” Did you even know there were rappers in 1970? It sounds anachronistic, like running the west coast offense in 1947. In the first two weeks of the playoffs I’ve seen the revolution televised. Suddenly, in [...]

San Francisco vs. Atlanta; Sun Jan 20th @ 3pm EST This could hardly be a more fascinating matchup. The Niners are an excellent all around team quarterbacked by a second-year player with only seven starts to his credit. Yes the momentum seems to be totally in favor of the visiting Niners. Last week Atlanta looked [...]

Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots; Sun Jan 20th @ 6:30 pm EST You could learn more from last week’s Divisional Championships than from observing this year’s total NFL season to date. Baltimore at Denver raised more questions than even I expected (see last week’s article where I predicted the Ravens would beat the Broncos [...]

Just as we called for Ravens to upset Broncos and bet +10 and moneyline, cashing both, we now want to let you know we feel the same way about Houston.  As we said about Ravens, Houston could get easily blown out here, but we think 1o points is way to many and the Texans have [...]

Houston vs. New England; Sun Jan 13 @ 1:30 pm PST New England has a great quarterback, lots of receiving targets with original ways to implement them, a tradition of winning, and a great coach. On defense the Patriots have rebuilt the one missing factor from their championship years: a strong pass rush from both [...]

Seattle @ Atlanta; Sun Jan 13 @ 10am PST Atlanta seems to have beaten almost everyone in the regular season while impressing very few people. This is somewhat surprising to me as Matt Ryan is a very well regarded and experienced quarterback. Not only that, but they have arguably the best tandem of wide receivers [...]

Green Bay @ San Francisco; Jan 12 @ 5:00 PST San Francisco has the most overpowering defense in football. There is some question about Justin Smith recovering from a triceps injury, but on a defense like this, they just keep rolling along. Aaron Rodgers will be under tremendous pressure all game. Aldon Smith has blown [...]

Baltimore Ravens @ Denver Broncos; Jan 12 @ 4:30 EST This one is very complicated. The Broncos have all the criteria I look to when evaluating Super Bowl contenders (see our article here). Peyton Manning is arguably the best quarterback around, and when the Broncos offense is functioning they truly look unstoppable. Demaryius Thomas looks [...]

Okay, let’s start with the bad news. Seattle @ Washington: I personally found announcer/dullard Troy Aikman’s assessment that RG3 looked like injury had reduced his 4.3 speed to 4.5 as typical football announcer idiocy. How many plays all year did Griffin make requiring 4.3 speed? Maybe two. Despite his terrible affliction of 4.5 speed, the [...]

It’s hard to go against the Redskins’ offense. RG3 has truly revolutionized the game and his receiving targets are adequate though not outstanding. They are solid in most important areas necessary vs. Seahawks, with skills such as reading, reacting to, and stopping, the run. Seahawks’ QB Russell Wilson is very smart in choosing when to [...]

Just because it’s a playoff game on T.V. doesn’t mean you to pick it, let alone bet it. I had targeted this game for a major play on the Colts. I never liked Cam Cameron or the way he brought Joe Flacco along. I think new offensive coordinator Caldwell will bring Flacco to elite status [...]

Vikings @ Packers; Sat Jan 5th Lately it seems nobody can tackle Adrian Peterson. The Packers certainly couldn’t stop him last week. However, the fact remains that Green Bay will be the home team this game. Last time the Packers did not have their backs against the wall. This week it’s win or you’re done. [...]

I’m going to present analysis from two different sides. To see who I think will win the game, you’ll need to buy my full analysis and pick. Why the Texans Will Beat the Bengals; Sat Jan 5th @ 4:30 First, Matt Schaub has more experience at quarterback, and experience has historically been a huge factor [...]

Editor’s Note: This article was written before Sunday’s (week 17) games were played. Some teams mentioned may have been eliminated. We will give you a full in-depth analysis once the playoff match-ups are determined. This list, in no particular order, is just a short summation of the things we like and don’t like about the [...]

Congratulations to all of you and thanks for your many calls and emails regarding last week’s 5-0 record. We definitely intend to continue giving free analysis and a limited number of free picks with the objective of letting the non-expert, casual football bettor be a winner every year. While we will continue to give some [...]

0.5 star: Green Bay -12 over Tennessee Watch the spread on this game. We have lost a lot of value here as the game opened around Green Bay -10. Some outlets are as high as 13, most are 12.5, but there are still major outlets such as Las Vegas hilton with Green Bay -12. The [...]

.5 star: Atlanta -3 (-120) over Detroit This pick is only a half-star, but it is on TV so I included it here for those of you who are interested. The Lions’ malaise has led to everybody betting on the Falcons, and I hate to jump on the band wagon. Lions are actually healthier at [...]

There are two games we need to alert you to because the point spreads are moving. While our clients have already received these games, we are giving them to you at a reduced star (unit) basis because some of the value has been lost. 2 stars: Cincinnati +4 (buying half-point -120) over Pittsburgh This game [...]